3.2 Regions and Prospects

With the regional data and megatrends highlighted, an opportunity exists to look at South West data and overall prospects, and then discuss through the lens of agreed regional development determinants as established by the Council of Australian Governments and accounting for both the Australian Government’s regional priorities and the Western Australian Government’s regional strategic vision as delivered through the South West Development Commission (SWDC).

3.2.1 Connectivity and Infrastructure (Access to markets)

Distance is an economic hurdle than can only be surmounted by world class infrastructure – roads, rail, port, airports, intermodal hubs and data superhighways. It is important to acknowledge that the South West’s regional centre is 185km from the world’s most isolated capital city. Quality infrastructure is therefore a supply chain facilitator of market access and enabler of competitiveness.

It is important to note that with much of business being digitally based then communications are as essential as traditional transport infrastructure. The South West’s relative global remoteness is mitigated by quality fibre connections and paves the way for attracting decentralised public and private workforces to a region featuring outstanding natural beauty and liveability.

Roads

The South West has a quality road network that has benefited from upgrades to the Collie Highway and ongoing Bunbury Outer Ring Road (BORR) works with associated duplication of the Bussell Highway. BORR planning works with the 1350ha Waterloo Industrial, links Kemerton, Bunbury Port and services the timber precinct as well as facilitating the smooth flow of traffic to the Capes.

A future bottleneck is likely to be the Busselton Bypass which will require duplication. That will service Yalyalup Industrial Park close to Busselton-Margaret River Airport and go to the South of Vasse Newtown to Carbanup in 15-20 years. Before that, the Vasse-Dunsborough link will require enhancement and grade separation works are likely to be needed on the main Forrest-Bussell Highway corridor. Additional passing points will be necessary on the South Western Highway.

Rail

The Claisebrook-Picton (Perth-Bunbury) main rail line has been close to capacity for some time, particularly from Brunswick to Picton where freight from Worsley and Collie join the line to Bunbury Port. There remain limitations on containers and constraints due to the lack of standard gauge tracks (21-tonne axle loads). Long term growth at Kemerton would also benefit from a rail spur to service investment.

Investigations into the re-establishment of the Greenbushes rail line have been inconclusive due to the volatility of minerals prices affecting planning and extraction volumes. However, the option remains on the agenda for volumes of 2mtpa. Standard gauge rail options might also generate more opportunities.

Bunbury Port

The port is split across two sites – the Inner and Outer Harbours although the latter will likely be decommissioned and trade consolidated to the Inner Harbour by 2030.  This will free up land for integration into the Bunbury Waterfront project over the coming decade.

The Inner Harbour features 400ha of quality and available development land with potential to accommodate any overflow of freight from Kwinana and Fremantle. Bunbury Port has broken records for throughput every year, excepting the GFC, since it was founded more than 100 years ago. In 2021-22 throughput was more than 18mt for the year.

While the 2019 Westport Taskforce recommendations on container options focused on Perth, 20,000 TEUs (Twenty-foot Equivalent Units) are generated in the South West each year. Population growth and inbound demand may also prompt a rethink on containerisation at Bunbury while pressures on the Western Trade Coast is driving interest in Bunbury as a roll on/off (ro-ro) port.

Regionally, the port services the resources sector which produces the bulk of the region’s output wealth, alumina exports representing the majority of throughput.

Figure 3 - Bunbury Port Throughput (‘000 tonnes) 2011-2022. Source: Bunbury Port Authority ‘Bunbury Trade History’

Energy

The energy landscape is changing in the face of climate change, the appetite for renewables, government policy and disruption to traditional baseload production. Homes are the new power generators and it is clear that the next two decades will look nothing like the last two. Rooftop solar take up (300MW across the state) has impacted on the grid and none more so than the South West Interconnected System (SWIS). At the heart of the SWIS is Collie and since the 19th Century coal has been Collie’s major contribution to the State. However, that is changing as policy transitions to renewable and low emission energy production on an increasingly decentralised trading grid. Coal-generated power will end in 2029.

Synergy is the State’s key energy producer but there are other interested parties, particularly in renewable energy production and it is the State Government’s strategy to pursue a future that includes hydrogen energy produced by wind and solar. Western Australia has the nation’s first Hydrogen Minister who has stated that the WA Renewable Hydrogen Roadmap will lead to decarbonising the gas sector, supporting remote communities and fuelling vehicles, particularly freight in the mining sector by 2030. Surplus energy will be exported, leveraging off industry skills developed in LNG production.

The South West is also the likely beneficiary of multi-billion-dollar investments in offshore wind energy production given the high levels of interest being shown.

However, energy issues remain with the lack of energy in Scott River and limited supplies to Kemerton.

Strategies to support Energy and Water Infrastructure

  • Encourage investment in renewable energy production and battery storage to decarbonise the future.
  • Envision renewable energy as boosting the credentials for industry and the South West’s clean/green reputation.
  • Three-phase power provision for light industry precincts and water supplies at a pressure necessary for fighting fires.
  • Progress the Myalup-Wellington water project to tackle salinity and trigger investment in piped irrigation.
  • Encourage R+D and investment in water infrastructure and improve irrigation efficiency through consolidated schemes.
  • Monitor the legislated introduction of water trading as a tool to drive efficiencies in a drying climate.
  • Increased use of ‘waste’ water resources for reuse and/or aquifer recharge.

Water

Water security will be one of the region’s greatest challenges. CSIRO found that the South West was ‘one of the most water challenged’ parts of the country. Rainfall has declined 15% since 1975 and continues to see a contraction along a NW-SE axis towards Cape Leeuwin.

Agriculture uses about 60% of all water in the region and Wellington Dam (the State’s second largest surface water supply) is increasing in salinity. Industry leaders believe that water is under valued. Owing to current water economics, this has led to wasteful practices, particularly industrial use of potable water.

The long terms prospects for water security are dire without significant investment. It is preferred that interventions are pre-emptive rather than reactive.

Telecommunications

The South West is relatively well served by high speed communications, domestically at up to 100Mbps and in Business Fibre Zones at 1Gbps in Bunbury, Busselton, Margaret River and Collie. It is expected that the greatest short-term communications impact will be 5G which will “enable unprecedented levels of connectivity, upgrading 4G networks with five key functional drivers: superfast broadband, ultra-reliable low latency communication, massive machine-type communications, high reliability/availability and efficient energy usage.” (PWC 2020) NBN Co reported setting a world record long range 5G transmission in January 2021.

A 1Gbps signal was sent more than 7km from a fixed wireless tower. The South West features a concentration of towers that could benefit users as technology progresses.

Quality telecommunications are critical to the region’s proposals to create a Digital Innovation District/Advanced Manufacturing and Technology Hub.

Strategies to support Connectivity and Infrastructure

  • Complete road and standard gauge rail links to the port (BORR).
  • Boost supply chain improvement opportunities through an Inter-modal Terminal (IMT). Link industrial parks, the port and interoperable transport connections via the IMT and staging areas, including standard gauge rail.
  • Upgrade the port to support projected trade expansion.
  • Plan for the longer term delivery of the Busselton Outer Bypass.
  • Create more passing places on busy single lane roads.
  • Prepare for the delivery of the Brunswick rail duplication.
  • Deliver a study to determine preconditions for faster rail, benefits and opportunities.
  • Expand Busselton Margaret River Regional Airport infrastructure to provide visitors with a premium experience and exporters with freight options.
  • Consider bigger picture utilities infrastructure to support growth and environmental values.
  • Continually drive communications upgrades to remain competitive and to support communities.
  • Provide leading edge internet connection to Bunbury and beyond.